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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 9, 2011 20:59:34 GMT -5
So my first thought... I feel bad for Penner. First Idol in like 20 ORGS... is because everyone gets them haha. This will be more used as the game progresses. I'll probably get around to doing my cast preview soon
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 10, 2011 22:18:00 GMT -5
Someone could be in trouble if Paloma comes on and uses her idol...
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 10, 2011 22:48:00 GMT -5
Mad Props at the move Natalie made telling Penner she only had a double vote.
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Post by Brett Clouser on May 10, 2011 23:34:23 GMT -5
Mad Props at the move Natalie made telling Penner she only had a double vote. haha - I thought that was pretty clever on Natalie's part, too. It could backfire though if people start talking and realize everyone has an Idol. Sooner or later people are going to start playing their Idols and as soon as two or three are played, people will catch on.
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Post by Bobby Jon Drinkard on May 11, 2011 1:17:42 GMT -5
Yeah personally I think she shouldve not said anything, it will eventually come out that everyone had idols. Its crazy to watch this and see peoples confessional then realize like DAMN i shouldve played the game differently.....it was my FIRST full game, meh, chalk it up to learning experience....enjoying it all so far, think things will get more interesting once we are like final 10. This cast looks lively....not like our cast tho
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 11, 2011 20:57:27 GMT -5
I thought it was clever... but yea Penner will realize she's lying probably at this vote.
This could be REALLY bad for green. Francesca (Wendy) is a very active player and good at challenges so I think losing her is going to be very costly.
I guess thats the price I pay when I set up everyone with idols... But so far... 16 active people woo!
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Post by Brett Clouser on May 11, 2011 21:46:38 GMT -5
That's funny... Paloma just single-handedly voted out one of the strongest players in the game, and she doesn't even know it.
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 11, 2011 21:59:27 GMT -5
im surprised no one changed there vote when Paloma came on. I don't particularly remember who... but 5 to 6 people have expressed knowledge of multiple idols and the assumption of the twist.
This happened in a game I played and I changed my vote and it ended up saving me haha.
But yea i feel bad for Wendy/Francesca
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 11, 2011 22:01:27 GMT -5
Why can the tribes never be equal.
6 people are on for Andes compared to Atacama's one... while this isn't live... I think Andes will get a huge advantage.
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 18, 2011 15:53:08 GMT -5
Welcome Rocky! Main thing... when talking to the contestants don't mention that everyone has an idol... because some still don't know.
So I am really rooting for Atacama... but Andes is the dream team. ALL 5 people were on at some point for the 1 hour live challenge. That is unheard of lol
As for if Andes goes to tribal council... anything could happen with all these idol.
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Post by Ami Cusack on May 18, 2011 16:49:19 GMT -5
Hey rocky <3
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 22, 2011 1:10:04 GMT -5
Okay so basically merge outlook
If you can't tell by tree mail (and John's confessional). The merge is starting off with an elimination challenge. I'll probably give them 48 hours since the stakes are so high.
I'll put everyone into finalist, final 4, final 7, or out soon.
Atacama has really impressed me lately so i'll start with them.
Fabio : Fabio is a nice guy and good at challenges but he's been rather boring. In a cast full of potential all-stars he's probably one of my least likely choices. I do know from other games he is good at challenges and could go for a run.
I see him being out soon
Grant: he's been disappointing so far. But i know him personally (he beat me in the finals) and he can be one hell of a player if he puts all his effort into it. So I give him a chance.
I see him sneaking into the Final Four
John: This guy is super active and super funny (intentionally). I hope he does well but I don't see it. I see him being targeted first at the merge because of his lack of sociableness and strength in challenges.
I see him being out soon
Natalie: She is such a sweetie pie. She is one of my favorites this season. Kind of reminds me of the actual Natalie. However I don't think she's found her Rob. She and Grant seem tight so it might happen there. However being the minority the merge might be difficult.
I see her being in the Final 7
Now for Andes :
Carolina She is a really sweet girl and another one of my favorites this season. From what im sensing she is in with the girls and I think later on she might make a big move. However I do believe it will backfire here.
I see her being in the Final 7
Eliza I think Eliza and Carolina are tight which means if Carolina leaves... Eliza will probably leave right after. For the elimination challenge I see either her or Jenna leaving. Right now I'm picking Jenna to leave.
I see her being in the Final 7
Jed Good old Burton/Gabe... Gabe sputtered off midway through pre-merge, Burton sputtered off at the merge. Where is Jed going to sputter off... im betting midway through the merge. As much as I feel bad for the guy and want to give him an Allstar spot for being so loyal to the series... He is on the outside looking in right now. I do see hope for him if he survives to when the girl alliance breaks up so im going to fit him into the final 4
I see him being in the Final 4
Jenna Jenna is a really sweet girl and I think she is a great social player. However I don't feel challenges are her strong suit. If everyone puts up their best effort in the final 10 elimination challenge... I see her being the person out. If someone doesn't do it or struggles or messes up... I could see her being in the final 4 with Kelly, and Ruth OR EVEN assisting with Carolina and Eliza in the other girls downfall Either way if she can survive the challenge she has a lot of potential... However. I don't think she will
I see her being Out Soon
Kelly Well Tom made it final 8, Rodger was runner up... i see Kelly winning this game. She has a great alliance with Ruth... and i could see her teaming up with Grant at the merge. I think st this point it is Kelly's game to lose. I think her main obstacle will be the idols (due to the uncertainty of them im not really factoring them into my predictions).
I see her not only being in the Final 4 but being a Finalist
Ruth-Marie She was Rodger's right hand girl last season... and I don't see anyone with Brett capabilities to break them up. Those two are such a good duel that I am considering making them PW next season just so other people have a chance.
I see her being the other finalist
Shannon Last but not least Shannon. I see him as a slightly more active Paloma... im not going to go into much detail because I consider him the next out.
So as i just said i see Shannon being Out soon
Hope you guys liked this (if you read it all) and i'm sorry for not posting much I've been busy.
I can't wait to see how this turns out and thanks for all you who have remained interested!
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Post by Brett Clouser on May 22, 2011 10:46:26 GMT -5
I agree with most of your predictions...
It sounds like Shannon is going to be voted out this round. He's already used his Hidden Idol, and like Paloma, he pissed off a lot of people on his tribe by being inactive. Prediction: Shannon - 11th
I'm not really sure what will happen in the individual elimination challenge, so I won't base my predictions on that. My guess would be either Eliza, Jenna or Fabio.
Fabio will probably be next. I think Kelly and Ruth-Marie are running the show, and they've already targeted Fabio as their smiting victim. That, plus he's not very good at convincing people to keep him. And now that his best friend Boston Rob has been voted out, his dedication to the game might start to decline. Prediction: Fabio - 10th
John is thinking strategically, and he might make a move to align with the other tribe. If it works, he could go far. But it it doesn't, the other tribe might see him as a threat in challenges/strategy and vote him out sooner rather than later. Prediction: John - 9th
Once a few members of Attacama are eliminated, Andes will probably start turning on their own... and I see Eliza being one of the first targets. She just doesn't seem to be as tight as the others, and her virus problem is probably preventing her from making stronger alliances right now. Prediction: Eliza - 8th
As Carlos said, Jed has a history of fizzling out in these games. He starts very strong, and then checks out and almost gets to the point of being inactive. I think the tribe will realize he's not much help and vote him out. Prediction: Jed - 7th
After Eliza, Carolina is probably not too long afterwards. She might get creative and stay a bit longer... But as soon as Eliza goes, Carolina's days are numbered. Prediction: Carolina - 6th
Time to vote out another Attacama person, and I think Grant might just make a better relationship with Kelly and Ruth-Marie than Natalie... or maybe he'll just win the challenge. Prediction: Natalie - 5th
Grant's the last remaining Attacama person, and someone's gotta go. Kelly and Ruth-Marie will keep Jenna since she was loyal from the start, she was weaker in challenges, and would have less support from the jury than Grant. Prediction: Grant - 4th
At the Final 3, Kelly would take Ruth-Marie, Ruth-Marie would take Kelly, and the only way Jenna would make it to the end is if she won the final challenge. Prediction: Jenna - 3rd
The Final 2 then would be Kelly and Ruth-Marie.
Of course, all of these predictions would go out the window if/when people start playing their Hidden Idols. It will be interesting to see how the Idols impact the rest of the game, post-merge.
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Post by Carlos Bernard on May 25, 2011 13:37:44 GMT -5
Well Jed in the final 4 was a crappy prediction.
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Post by Carlos Bernard on Jun 4, 2011 11:00:20 GMT -5
So I don't know what to do about allstars... because I think its inevitable that Carolina makes the finals... and with bitter jurors there is a chance she could win the game (probably not).
For allstars though the only two shoo ins are Natalie, and Eliza.
The other three main candidates I thought of from the beginning were John, Grant, and Rob.
Rob got voted off way to early for allstars, Grant always promised more but we never saw it. And We all know what happened to John.
So I think in the end the four people that are in contention for the two other spots are Jenna (she is sweet and has a good chance), Jed (he really wants a spot and he may squeak in), Carolina (it will be hard to deny her a spot if she wins, but i think its a long shot), Rob (if Jed or Jenna disappears I may have to give him a spot).
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